Prediction market news
Automatically generated from real price moves across Kalshi and Polymarket. Every figure below is a recorded market price — updated hourly.
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? Odds climb 13 points to 25% on Polymarket
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Odds slide 17 points to 54% on Polymarket
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Odds climb 24 points to 48% on Polymarket
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Odds climb 26 points to 62% on Polymarket
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Odds slide 25 points to 35% on Polymarket
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Odds climb 12 points to 36% on Polymarket
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Odds climb 17 points to 32% on Polymarket
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Odds slide 23 points to 8% on Polymarket
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Odds climb 61 points to 77% on Polymarket
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.30? Odds climb 14 points to 35% on Kalshi
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026? Odds slide 15 points to 22% on Polymarket
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? Odds climb 13 points to 95% on Polymarket
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? Odds slide 20 points to 11% on Polymarket
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? Odds climb 13 points to 32% on Polymarket
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026? Odds slide 36 points to 24% on Polymarket
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Odds slide 39 points to 26% on Polymarket
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Odds climb 39 points to 74% on Polymarket
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Odds slide 23 points to 52% on Polymarket
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Odds slide 22 points to 20% on Polymarket
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30? Odds slide 22 points to 14% on Polymarket
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? Odds climb 18 points to 75% on Polymarket
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Odds climb 19 points to 57% on Polymarket
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? Odds slide 45 points to 15% on Polymarket
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch? Odds slide 40 points to 25% on Polymarket
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Odds slide 14 points to 62% on Polymarket
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Odds slide 22 points to 43% on Polymarket
Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? Odds climb 32 points to 41% on Polymarket
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? Odds slide 45 points to 15% on Polymarket
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? Odds slide 47 points to 46% on Polymarket
Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch? Odds slide 41 points to 48% on Polymarket
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? Odds slide 40 points to 56% on Polymarket
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? Odds slide 24 points to 29% on Polymarket
Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch? Odds slide 26 points to 34% on Polymarket
Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch? Odds slide 37 points to 26% on Polymarket
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch? Odds slide 19 points to 29% on Polymarket
Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Odds climb 31 points to 72% on Polymarket
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Odds slide 17 points to 44% on Polymarket
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? Odds slide 39 points to 45% on Polymarket
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? Odds slide 38 points to 19% on Polymarket
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? Odds slide 20 points to 70% on Polymarket
Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch? Odds slide 21 points to 66% on Polymarket
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? Odds slide 25 points to 69% on Polymarket
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? Odds slide 19 points to 48% on Polymarket
Curfew in a major French city by December 31, 2026? Odds climb 41 points to 89% on Polymarket
Paris curfew by October 24? Odds climb 22 points to 28% on Polymarket
Paris curfew by October 31? Odds climb 18 points to 29% on Polymarket
Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026? Odds climb 23 points to 33% on Polymarket
Curfew in a major French city by October 31, 2026? Odds climb 28 points to 43% on Polymarket
Paris curfew by October 21? Odds climb 23 points to 27% on Polymarket
Curfew in a major French city by November 15, 2026? Odds climb 37 points to 52% on Polymarket
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? Odds climb 14 points to 85% on Polymarket
Will Morgan Wallen perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? Odds climb 17 points to 27% on Polymarket
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Odds slide 24 points to 30% on Polymarket
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Odds slide 29 points to 5% on Polymarket
Draw/Tie wins: odds climb 12 points to 43% on Kalshi
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? Odds climb 9 points to 88% on Polymarket
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? Odds climb 12 points to 65% on Polymarket
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Odds climb 14 points to 36% on Polymarket
Will Falcons Win the Thunderpick World Championship 2026? Odds slide 35 points to 12% on Polymarket
Will Team WE win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026? Odds slide 26 points to 8% on Polymarket
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? Odds slide 9 points to 9% on Polymarket
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Odds slide 8 points to 80% on Polymarket
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Odds slide 45 points to 10% on Polymarket
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Odds slide 12 points to 50% on Polymarket
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch? Odds slide 16 points to 49% on Polymarket
Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? Odds climb 23 points to 94% on Polymarket
Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? Odds climb 21 points to 74% on Polymarket
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? Odds climb 13 points to 39% on Polymarket
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Odds climb 15 points to 26% on Polymarket
Will STRC hit $100 by November 30? Odds slide 10 points to 86% on Polymarket
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Odds slide 11 points to 86% on Polymarket
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? Odds slide 25 points to 27% on Polymarket
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? Odds climb 31 points to 95% on Polymarket
Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027? Odds slide 55 points to 13% on Polymarket
Will BNK FEARX win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026? Odds climb 41 points to 67% on Polymarket
StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch? Odds slide 26 points to 24% on Polymarket
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round? Odds climb 16 points to 89% on Polymarket
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? Odds slide 11 points to 5% on Polymarket
Will BNK FEARX win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026? Odds climb 17 points to 41% on Polymarket
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Odds climb 11 points to 42% on Polymarket
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Odds slide 8 points to 11% on Polymarket
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Odds slide 8 points to 10% on Polymarket
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? Odds slide 14 points to 8% on Polymarket
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026? Odds climb 37 points to 92% on Polymarket
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? Odds climb 39 points to 72% on Polymarket
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Odds climb 15 points to 51% on Polymarket
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? Odds slide 36 points to 18% on Polymarket
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026? Odds climb 61 points to 88% on Polymarket
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Odds climb 12 points to 83% on Polymarket
Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026? Odds climb 10 points to 56% on Polymarket
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 15? Odds climb 9 points to 67% on Polymarket
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Odds slide 16 points to 53% on Polymarket
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15? Odds climb 37 points to 67% on Polymarket
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Odds climb 25 points to 39% on Polymarket
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Odds slide 10 points to 45% on Polymarket
Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VIII? Odds climb 19 points to 68% on Polymarket
Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VIII? Odds climb 14 points to 33% on Polymarket
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Odds slide 23 points to 71% on Polymarket
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Odds climb 32 points to 36% on Polymarket
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Odds climb 42 points to 68% on Polymarket
Will PARIVISION win BLAST Slam VIII? Odds climb 15 points to 42% on Polymarket
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Odds climb 36 points to 84% on Polymarket
Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15? Odds climb 32 points to 57% on Polymarket
Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15? Odds climb 55 points to 88% on Polymarket
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? Odds slide 29 points to 10% on Polymarket
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? Odds climb 63 points to 73% on Polymarket
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 15? Odds climb 21 points to 29% on Polymarket
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Odds climb 28 points to 46% on Polymarket
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Odds climb 36 points to 67% on Polymarket
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? Odds climb 17 points to 91% on Polymarket
Will the highest-magnitude earthquake in 2026 be 7.9 or below? Odds climb 70 points to 80% on Polymarket
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Odds climb 29 points to 78% on Polymarket
Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Blaze? Odds climb 22 points to 29% on Polymarket
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? Odds climb 24 points to 41% on Polymarket
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? Odds climb 28 points to 58% on Polymarket
Bangladesh wins: odds climb 13 points to 85% on Kalshi
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? Odds climb 24 points to 31% on Polymarket
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? Odds slide 14 points to 77% on Polymarket
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Odds climb 13 points to 27% on Polymarket
These reports are generated automatically from observed market prices. They describe what the market did — they are not predictions, analysis, or financial advice.