Prediction market news
Automatically generated from real price moves across Kalshi and Polymarket. Every figure below is a recorded market price — updated hourly.
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds slide 34 points to 36% on Polymarket
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Odds climb 15 points to 40% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? Odds climb 20 points to 47% on Polymarket
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Odds climb 29 points to 47% on Polymarket
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jack Lowden: odds climb 27 points to 54% on Kalshi
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds climb 42 points to 68% on Polymarket
Will Apple TV win the most Emmys? Odds climb 75 points to 90% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? Odds slide 20 points to 27% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds climb 22 points to 42% on Polymarket
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Odds climb 29 points to 63% on Polymarket
Will "Turning Point: Generation 9/11" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? Odds climb 60 points to 75% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? Odds slide 11 points to 7% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? Odds slide 13 points to 16% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? Odds climb 14 points to 34% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? Odds climb 13 points to 33% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? Odds slide 16 points to 12% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? Odds climb 16 points to 64% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? Odds slide 43 points to 9% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1? Odds climb 72 points to 86% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? Odds slide 28 points to 7% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? Odds climb 40 points to 54% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? Odds slide 16 points to 16% on Polymarket
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? Odds climb 24 points to 36% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? Odds climb 17 points to 37% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? Odds slide 18 points to 5% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30? Odds slide 23 points to 17% on Polymarket
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? Odds climb 37 points to 85% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026? Odds slide 13 points to 12% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026? Odds climb 22 points to 36% on Polymarket
Will "The Whisper Man (2026)" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? Odds climb 30 points to 91% on Polymarket
Will "The Whisper Man (2026)" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Odds slide 23 points to 10% on Polymarket
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week? Odds climb 18 points to 80% on Polymarket
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? Odds climb 20 points to 35% on Polymarket
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? Odds slide 22 points to 63% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? Odds climb 13 points to 50% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? Odds slide 15 points to 7% on Polymarket
Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed? Odds climb 30 points to 58% on Polymarket
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? Odds climb 20 points to 83% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? Odds climb 14 points to 39% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026? Odds climb 16 points to 65% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026? Odds slide 15 points to 5% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026? Odds slide 21 points to 11% on Polymarket
Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed? Odds climb 19 points to 63% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in August 2026? Odds slide 15 points to 5% on Polymarket
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? Odds climb 25 points to 73% on Polymarket
Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? Odds climb 36 points to 93% on Polymarket
Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? Odds slide 23 points to 31% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026? Odds climb 18 points to 62% on Polymarket
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? Odds slide 30 points to 10% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds climb 55 points to 67% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? Odds climb 39 points to 76% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Odds climb 18 points to 21% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Odds slide 24 points to 10% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? Odds climb 32 points to 38% on Polymarket
Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? Odds climb 21 points to 54% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Odds slide 45 points to 8% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? Odds climb 41 points to 86% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds slide 53 points to 7% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? Odds climb 17 points to 46% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? Odds climb 35 points to 67% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31? Odds slide 33 points to 8% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31? Odds climb 33 points to 92% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? Odds climb 13 points to 38% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31? Odds slide 23 points to 61% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? Odds slide 38 points to 20% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? Odds slide 24 points to 59% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Odds climb 25 points to 42% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31? Odds slide 28 points to 56% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31? Odds climb 32 points to 46% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? Odds climb 20 points to 33% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? Odds slide 16 points to 8% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026? Odds climb 20 points to 43% on Polymarket
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m? Odds climb 29 points to 64% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31? Odds slide 19 points to 14% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Odds slide 19 points to 17% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? Odds climb 19 points to 83% on Polymarket
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m? Odds climb 26 points to 84% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? Odds slide 28 points to 12% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? Odds climb 13 points to 21% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? Odds climb 10 points to 30% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? Odds slide 12 points to 46% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? Odds slide 12 points to 12% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? Odds climb 14 points to 41% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026? Odds climb 15 points to 50% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? Odds slide 15 points to 51% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? Odds slide 20 points to 31% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? Odds slide 16 points to 10% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31? Odds climb 13 points to 76% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? Odds climb 21 points to 40% on Polymarket
Will "Conversations with a Killer: The Charles Manson Tapes: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Odds climb 49 points to 63% on Polymarket
Will "Tires: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Odds slide 66 points to 22% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12 million views on day 1? Odds slide 26 points to 10% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? Odds climb 17 points to 51% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31? Odds climb 44 points to 79% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Odds climb 12 points to 32% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026? Odds climb 18 points to 68% on Polymarket
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m? Odds slide 15 points to 8% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026? Odds climb 24 points to 47% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026? Odds climb 27 points to 36% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? Odds climb 18 points to 82% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Odds slide 18 points to 19% on Polymarket
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m? Odds slide 20 points to 5% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? Odds slide 25 points to 37% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? Odds slide 31 points to 23% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? Odds climb 25 points to 48% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds climb 80 points to 94% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? Odds climb 23 points to 49% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? Odds climb 24 points to 55% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds climb 72 points to 85% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? Odds climb 19 points to 43% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31? Odds slide 15 points to 29% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? Odds slide 40 points to 6% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds climb 35 points to 82% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? Odds climb 16 points to 25% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026? Odds climb 25 points to 52% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds climb 31 points to 58% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? Odds slide 20 points to 59% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Odds climb 40 points to 52% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? Odds slide 17 points to 13% on Polymarket
These reports are generated automatically from observed market prices. They describe what the market did — they are not predictions, analysis, or financial advice.