Prediction market news
Automatically generated from real price moves across Kalshi and Polymarket. Every figure below is a recorded market price — updated hourly.
Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M? Odds slide 19 points to 54% on Polymarket
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds climb 62 points to 91% on Polymarket
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? Odds slide 56 points to 14% on Polymarket
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds climb 56 points to 86% on Polymarket
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? Odds climb 32 points to 66% on Polymarket
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? Odds slide 14 points to 31% on Polymarket
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds climb 17 points to 69% on Polymarket
Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 32% to 34%? Odds climb 9 points to 59% on Polymarket
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? Odds slide 36 points to 44% on Polymarket
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds climb 43 points to 53% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? Odds slide 10 points to 9% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Odds climb 13 points to 89% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? Odds slide 16 points to 11% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1? Odds climb 29 points to 35% on Polymarket
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? Odds climb 22 points to 82% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? Odds climb 13 points to 25% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Odds slide 14 points to 73% on Polymarket
Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m? Odds climb 16 points to 38% on Polymarket
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Odds climb 15 points to 65% on Polymarket
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? Odds climb 33 points to 68% on Polymarket
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Odds climb 9 points to 50% on Polymarket
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? Odds climb 23 points to 26% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1? Odds climb 45 points to 51% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? Odds slide 33 points to 9% on Polymarket
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Odds climb 12 points to 62% on Polymarket
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Odds climb 12 points to 61% on Polymarket
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m? Odds climb 11 points to 30% on Polymarket
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m? Odds climb 38 points to 64% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 215 and 223 million views on week 1? Odds slide 25 points to 21% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 207 and 215 million views on week 1? Odds climb 55 points to 75% on Polymarket
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m? Odds climb 14 points to 55% on Polymarket
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m? Odds climb 15 points to 25% on Polymarket
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Odds slide 13 points to 51% on Polymarket
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17? Odds slide 37 points to 8% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 150 million views on week 1? Odds slide 9 points to 71% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? Odds slide 10 points to 10% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? Odds slide 22 points to 6% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? Odds slide 16 points to 14% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? Odds slide 15 points to 10% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? Odds slide 22 points to 8% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1? Odds climb 49 points to 77% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1? Odds climb 33 points to 56% on Polymarket
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? Odds climb 17 points to 94% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? Odds climb 74 points to 91% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? Odds slide 32 points to 49% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1? Odds climb 33 points to 49% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? Odds climb 59 points to 77% on Polymarket
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Odds slide 19 points to 33% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 25 and 30 million views in week 1? Odds climb 35 points to 38% on Polymarket
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 150k? Odds slide 27 points to 67% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? Odds climb 12 points to 26% on Polymarket
Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 300k? Odds slide 23 points to 13% on Polymarket
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Odds climb 30 points to 65% on Polymarket
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? Odds slide 24 points to 19% on Polymarket
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? Odds climb 73 points to 76% on Polymarket
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m? Odds climb 30 points to 82% on Polymarket
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? Odds climb 36 points to 72% on Polymarket
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? Odds slide 48 points to 15% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? Odds slide 27 points to 33% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds climb 15 points to 51% on Polymarket
Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026? Odds slide 29 points to 57% on Polymarket
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? Odds climb 20 points to 72% on Polymarket
Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026? Odds slide 26 points to 60% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? Odds climb 43 points to 66% on Polymarket
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? Odds climb 14 points to 49% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds slide 41 points to 33% on Polymarket
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Odds climb 19 points to 58% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds climb 50 points to 76% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds slide 19 points to 28% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? Odds climb 25 points to 61% on Polymarket
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? Odds slide 29 points to 26% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1? Odds slide 37 points to 5% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? Odds climb 39 points to 94% on Polymarket
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? Odds climb 32 points to 46% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? Odds climb 20 points to 52% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1? Odds slide 23 points to 41% on Polymarket
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? Odds slide 26 points to 6% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1? Odds climb 11 points to 68% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? Odds slide 12 points to 30% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? Odds climb 36 points to 44% on Polymarket
No one announced as next James Bond? Odds slide 17 points to 16% on Polymarket
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Odds climb 16 points to 70% on Polymarket
Will "Instadocs: The Decoy Plane" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Odds climb 41 points to 87% on Polymarket
No one announced as next James Bond? Odds climb 11 points to 33% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 12.5 and 15 million views on day 1? Odds slide 19 points to 15% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 20 million or more views on day 1? Odds slide 25 points to 5% on Polymarket
Will Avengers: Secret Wars be delayed? Odds climb 9 points to 55% on Polymarket
Will "Instadocs: The Decoy Plane" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Odds slide 18 points to 43% on Polymarket
Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 32m? Odds climb 86 points to 92% on Polymarket
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? Odds climb 22 points to 89% on Polymarket
Will "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 6m? Odds climb 16 points to 94% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? Odds climb 21 points to 95% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds slide 28 points to 22% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? Odds climb 23 points to 55% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds slide 34 points to 36% on Polymarket
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Odds climb 15 points to 40% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? Odds climb 20 points to 47% on Polymarket
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Odds climb 29 points to 47% on Polymarket
Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond — Jack Lowden: odds climb 27 points to 54% on Kalshi
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds climb 42 points to 68% on Polymarket
Will Apple TV win the most Emmys? Odds climb 75 points to 90% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? Odds slide 20 points to 27% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? Odds climb 22 points to 42% on Polymarket
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? Odds climb 29 points to 63% on Polymarket
Will "Turning Point: Generation 9/11" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? Odds climb 60 points to 75% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? Odds slide 11 points to 7% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? Odds slide 13 points to 16% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? Odds climb 14 points to 34% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? Odds climb 13 points to 33% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? Odds slide 16 points to 12% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026? Odds climb 16 points to 64% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? Odds slide 43 points to 9% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1? Odds climb 72 points to 86% on Polymarket
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? Odds slide 28 points to 7% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? Odds climb 40 points to 54% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? Odds slide 16 points to 16% on Polymarket
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? Odds climb 24 points to 36% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? Odds climb 17 points to 37% on Polymarket
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? Odds slide 18 points to 5% on Polymarket
These reports are generated automatically from observed market prices. They describe what the market did — they are not predictions, analysis, or financial advice.