Prediction market news
Automatically generated from real price moves across Kalshi and Polymarket. Every figure below is a recorded market price — updated hourly.
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Odds slide 17 points to 56% on Polymarket
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Odds climb 17 points to 44% on Polymarket
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Odds slide 23 points to 53% on Polymarket
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? Odds slide 28 points to 33% on Polymarket
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Odds slide 12 points to 14% on Polymarket
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Odds slide 22 points to 68% on Polymarket
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? Odds slide 63 points to 18% on Polymarket
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Odds climb 22 points to 30% on Polymarket
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Odds climb 51 points to 66% on Polymarket
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Odds slide 29 points to 25% on Polymarket
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Odds climb 64 points to 83% on Polymarket
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? Odds slide 16 points to 13% on Polymarket
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Odds climb 36 points to 61% on Polymarket
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? Odds slide 55 points to 29% on Polymarket
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Odds climb 56 points to 71% on Polymarket
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? Odds slide 57 points to 27% on Polymarket
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Odds climb 55 points to 73% on Polymarket
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Odds climb 15 points to 89% on Polymarket
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? Odds slide 15 points to 67% on Polymarket
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Odds climb 14 points to 32% on Polymarket
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Odds slide 11 points to 11% on Polymarket
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Odds climb 12 points to 68% on Polymarket
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Odds slide 8 points to 73% on Polymarket
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Odds climb 10 points to 30% on Polymarket
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Odds slide 15 points to 58% on Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Odds slide 14 points to 14% on Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Odds climb 12 points to 87% on Polymarket
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Odds slide 18 points to 7% on Polymarket
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Odds climb 14 points to 62% on Polymarket
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? Odds slide 10 points to 45% on Polymarket
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Odds slide 21 points to 70% on Polymarket
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Odds climb 21 points to 30% on Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Odds climb 28 points to 74% on Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Odds slide 28 points to 26% on Polymarket
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Odds slide 32 points to 19% on Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Odds slide 36 points to 46% on Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Odds climb 36 points to 54% on Polymarket
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Odds climb 13 points to 62% on Polymarket
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? Odds climb 20 points to 23% on Polymarket
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Odds slide 18 points to 49% on Polymarket
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026? Odds climb 20 points to 76% on Polymarket
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Odds slide 8 points to 76% on Polymarket
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Odds climb 9 points to 25% on Polymarket
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? Odds climb 29 points to 32% on Polymarket
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Odds slide 10 points to 65% on Polymarket
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Odds climb 28 points to 93% on Polymarket
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? Odds slide 29 points to 8% on Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Odds slide 28 points to 16% on Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Odds climb 34 points to 83% on Polymarket
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Odds climb 11 points to 92% on Polymarket
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Odds slide 28 points to 65% on Polymarket
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? Odds climb 30 points to 37% on Polymarket
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Odds slide 17 points to 42% on Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Odds slide 49 points to 20% on Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Odds climb 48 points to 79% on Polymarket
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Odds climb 13 points to 55% on Polymarket
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Odds climb 9 points to 70% on Polymarket
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? Odds climb 11 points to 28% on Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Odds slide 48 points to 17% on Polymarket
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Odds slide 10 points to 60% on Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Odds climb 49 points to 83% on Polymarket
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Odds climb 8 points to 32% on Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Odds slide 47 points to 18% on Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Odds climb 49 points to 83% on Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Odds slide 45 points to 18% on Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Odds climb 45 points to 82% on Polymarket
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Odds climb 14 points to 68% on Polymarket
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? Odds climb 23 points to 28% on Polymarket
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Odds slide 25 points to 42% on Polymarket
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Odds climb 36 points to 89% on Polymarket
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? Odds climb 38 points to 63% on Polymarket
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Odds slide 28 points to 14% on Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Odds climb 32 points to 66% on Polymarket
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 4.00%: odds slide 37 points to 33% on Kalshi
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Odds slide 31 points to 34% on Polymarket
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? Odds climb 67 points to 84% on Polymarket
No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27? Odds climb 46 points to 71% on Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Odds climb 20 points to 51% on Polymarket
Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 4.00%: odds slide 21 points to 49% on Kalshi
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Odds slide 21 points to 48% on Polymarket
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Odds climb 17 points to 36% on Polymarket
Fed funds rate after Jun 2027 meeting? — Above 4.25%: odds climb 25 points to 77% on Kalshi
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? Odds climb 67 points to 84% on Polymarket
Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting? — Above 5.50%: odds climb 46 points to 49% on Kalshi
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Odds climb 23 points to 48% on Polymarket
Fed funds rate after Jun 2027 meeting? — Above 4.25%: odds climb 17 points to 68% on Kalshi
Fed funds rate after Dec 2027 meeting? — Above 5.50%: odds climb 46 points to 49% on Kalshi
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Odds slide 48 points to 6% on Polymarket
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Odds climb 15 points to 85% on Polymarket
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? Odds climb 39 points to 78% on Polymarket
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Odds slide 23 points to 8% on Polymarket
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? Odds climb 31 points to 69% on Polymarket
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Odds slide 35 points to 14% on Polymarket
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Odds slide 14 points to 65% on Polymarket
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Odds slide 16 points to 51% on Polymarket
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Odds slide 51 points to 9% on Polymarket
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Odds slide 28 points to 55% on Polymarket
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Odds slide 20 points to 58% on Polymarket
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? Odds slide 49 points to 5% on Polymarket
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Odds climb 34 points to 62% on Polymarket
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? Odds slide 29 points to 30% on Polymarket
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Odds slide 28 points to 19% on Polymarket
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Odds climb 41 points to 64% on Polymarket
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Odds slide 23 points to 21% on Polymarket
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? Odds climb 21 points to 58% on Polymarket
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Odds climb 34 points to 88% on Polymarket
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? Odds climb 46 points to 95% on Polymarket
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? Odds climb 28 points to 90% on Polymarket
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Odds climb 9 points to 87% on Polymarket
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? Odds climb 10 points to 18% on Polymarket
Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting? — Above 3.75%: odds climb 36 points to 88% on Kalshi
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? Odds slide 9 points to 84% on Polymarket
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Odds climb 32 points to 81% on Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? Odds slide 31 points to 21% on Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? Odds climb 31 points to 80% on Polymarket
Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting? — Above 3.75%: odds climb 28 points to 79% on Kalshi
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Odds slide 10 points to 47% on Polymarket
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Odds slide 8 points to 85% on Polymarket
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? Odds climb 29 points to 79% on Polymarket
These reports are generated automatically from observed market prices. They describe what the market did — they are not predictions, analysis, or financial advice.