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Election & Politics Odds

Live election and political prediction market odds compared across Kalshi and Polymarket.

201 live markets · cross-venue prices · resolution-checked pairs labelled

• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• 2028 Republican presidential nominee — J.D. Vance
• Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Marco Rubio
• Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
• Israeli forces enter Tyre by August 31?
• Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026?
• Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
• Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
• Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Glenn Youngkin
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Ron DeSantis
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — J.D. Vance
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
• Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
• Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
• Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
• 2028 Republican presidential nominee — Marco Rubio
• Will Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
• Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
• Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31?
• NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
• Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
• Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
• 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Josh Shapiro
• 2028 Republican presidential nominee — Tucker Carlson
• Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
• Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Pete Buttigieg
• Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
• Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
• Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
• Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Josh Shapiro
• Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?
• Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?
• Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Kamala Harris
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
• Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
• US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?
• Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
• Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
• Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — J.B. Pritzker
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
• Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Vivek Ramaswamy
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Jon Ossoff
• Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
• Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
• Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? — Todd Blanche
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
• Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
• Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
• Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
• Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
• Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
• Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
• US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
• Trump out as President by August 31?
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
• Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
• Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
• Iran leadership change by December 31?
• Iran leadership change by August 31?
• Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
• Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
• Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
• Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
• Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?
• Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
• Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Gavin Newsom
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Tucker Carlson
• Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

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