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Election & Politics Odds

Live election and political prediction market odds compared across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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• Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
• Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
• Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
• Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
• Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
• Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
• Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — J.B. Pritzker
• Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
• Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
• Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
• Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
• Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
• Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Vivek Ramaswamy
• Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
• 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
• Will the Republican Party win the CA-28 House seat?
• Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
• Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?
• Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
• Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Ron DeSantis
• Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?
• US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
• Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?
• Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?
• Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Josh Shapiro
• China x Japan military clash before 2027?
• Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?
• Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
• Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026?
• Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?
• Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?
• Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
• Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?
• Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Jon Ossoff
• Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
• Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?
• Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
• Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
• Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
• Trump out as President before 2027?
• 2028 Republican presidential nominee — J.D. Vance
• Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
• 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
• Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
• Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
• Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
• Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
• Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
• Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
• Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
• Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
• Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?
• Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?
• Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
• Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
• Will Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election?
• Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
• Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
• Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
• Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
• Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
• Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
• Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
• Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?
• Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
• Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
• Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
• Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
• Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? — Todd Blanche
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
• US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
• US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
• US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
• US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
• US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
• US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
• Trump out as President by August 31?
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
• Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
• Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
• Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
• Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
• NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
• NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
• Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
• Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
• Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?
• Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
• Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
• Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
• Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?
• Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
• Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?
• Israel closes its airspace by August 15?
• Iran leadership change by September 30?
• Iran leadership change by December 31?
• Iran leadership change by August 31?
• Iran invades Kuwait by August 31?
• Iran full airspace closure by September 30?
• Iran full airspace closure by August 31?
• Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Gavin Newsom
• 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Gavin Newsom
• 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Jon Ossoff
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Tucker Carlson
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Marco Rubio
• 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Pete Buttigieg
• Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

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