Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Post ☰ See all 13 outcomes in 2028 Republican presidential nominee →

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 7, 2028

This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →

LIVE PRICES — YES

1¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	1¢	1¢
NO	99¢	99¢

$1,400,911 volume

PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗

1¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	1¢	1¢
NO	99¢	99¢

$16,900,479 volume

Cross-venue spread 0.2¢

Track this market on MarketMaster →

See all 13 outcomes2028 Republican presidential nominee Where else do the venues disagree?Live cross-venue gaps across every market Open in the analyzerPrice history, alerts and your watchlist

CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 100¢ per $1 payout, locking +0.1¢ per contract before fees.

Stake $

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY

HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Show full rules

STATS

Cross-venue spread0.2¢

Kalshi last1¢

Polymarket last1¢

Venues2

TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card

ELSEWHERE

What a cross-venue gap is actually worth · How accurate are these prices?