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Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Post ☰ See all 14 outcomes in 2028 Republican presidential nominee →
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 7, 2028
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
1¢ last
BidAsk
YES1¢1¢
NO99¢99¢
$1,400,911 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
1¢ last
BidAsk
YES1¢1¢
NO99¢99¢
$16,905,481 volume
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Cross-venue spread 0.2¢
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See all 14 outcomes2028 Republican presidential nominee Where else do the venues disagree?Live cross-venue gaps across every market Open in the analyzerPrice history, alerts and your watchlist
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 100¢ per $1 payout, locking +0.1¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread0.2¢
Kalshi last1¢
Polymarket last1¢
Venues2
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