Skip to content
Scanner / All markets / Politics

2028 Republican presidential nominee — J.D. Vance

Post ☰ See all 9 outcomes in 2028 Republican presidential nominee →
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 7, 2028
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
41¢ last
BidAsk
YES41¢42¢
NO58¢59¢
$3,920,709 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
43¢ last
BidAsk
YES43¢43¢
NO57¢57¢
$15,091,604 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.2¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.1¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If J.D. Vance wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.2¢
Kalshi last41¢
Polymarket last43¢
Venues2
TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card
RELATED MARKETS
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Marco RubioWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?