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2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — J.D. Vance

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KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jan 21, 2029
MarketMaster fair value80¢ vs live 79¢ on Polymarket
▲ +1.6% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO
PolymarketTrade ↗
22¢ last
BidAsk
YES21¢22¢
NO79¢79¢
$15,166,924 volume
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread
Kalshi last
Polymarket last22¢
Model fair value20¢
Model confidence40%
Venues2
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