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2028 Republican presidential nominee — Marco Rubio

Post ☰ See all 7 outcomes in 2028 Republican presidential nominee →
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 7, 2028
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
MarketMaster fair value79¢ vs live 78¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.7% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
23¢ last
BidAsk
YES22¢23¢
NO77¢78¢
$5,188,196 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
20¢ last
BidAsk
YES19¢20¢
NO81¢81¢
$10,254,883 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.4¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 98¢ per $1 payout, locking +2.5¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Marco Rubio wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread3.4¢
Kalshi last23¢
Polymarket last20¢
Model fair value21¢
Model confidence41%
Venues2
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