Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Name: Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — daily price history on Kalshi and Polymarket
Creator: MarketMaster
License: https://marketmaster.live/terms

Post ☰ See all 10 outcomes in 2028 Republican presidential nominee →

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 7, 2028

LIVE PRICES — YES

KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗

2¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	2¢	2¢
NO	98¢	98¢

$2,340,828 volume

PolymarketTrade ↗

2¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	2¢	3¢
NO	98¢	98¢

$19,697,829 volume

Cross-venue spread 0.1¢

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See all 10 outcomes2028 Republican presidential nominee Where else do the venues disagree?Live cross-venue gaps across every market Open in the analyzerPrice history, alerts and your watchlist

CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 100¢ per $1 payout, locking +0.1¢ per contract before fees.

Stake $

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY

HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Ted Cruz wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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STATS

Cross-venue spread0.1¢

Kalshi last2¢

Polymarket last2¢

Venues2

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ELSEWHERE

What a cross-venue gap is actually worth · How accurate are these prices?

The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.