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Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 7, 2028
MarketMaster fair value98¢ vs live 97¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.4% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO97¢97¢
$4,464,608 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO99¢99¢
$14,868,468 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.2¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 98¢ per $1 payout, locking +2.1¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If J.B. Pritzker wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread2.2¢
Kalshi last
Polymarket last
Model fair value
Model confidence41%
Venues2
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