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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

KalshiPolymarket Closes Oct 4, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
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last
BidAsk
YES
NO
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65¢ last
BidAsk
YES65¢66¢
NO34¢35¢
$7,942,893 volume
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

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STATS
Cross-venue spread
Kalshi last
Polymarket last65¢
Venues2
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