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Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Post ☰ See all 8 outcomes in 2028 Democratic presidential nominee →
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 7, 2028
MarketMaster fair value16¢ vs live 14¢ on Polymarket
▲ +1.3% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
16¢ last
BidAsk
YES16¢17¢
NO83¢84¢
$7,166,372 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
14¢ last
BidAsk
YES14¢14¢
NO86¢86¢
$12,727,937 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.6¢
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 98¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.7¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Jon Ossoff wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread1.6¢
Kalshi last16¢
Polymarket last14¢
Model fair value16¢
Model confidence40%
Venues2
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