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Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Post ☰ See all 7 outcomes in 2028 Democratic presidential nominee →
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 7, 2028
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
15¢ last
BidAsk
YES14¢15¢
NO85¢86¢
$9,202,948 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
15¢ last
BidAsk
YES15¢15¢
NO85¢85¢
$26,864,372 volume
Cross-venue spread 0.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Gavin Newsom wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread0.0¢
Kalshi last15¢
Polymarket last15¢
Venues2
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