Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

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KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 7, 2028

LIVE PRICES — YES

KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗

5¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	5¢	5¢
NO	95¢	96¢

$4,839,331 volume

PolymarketTrade ↗

5¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	5¢	5¢
NO	95¢	95¢

$9,593,450 volume

Cross-venue spread 0.5¢

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CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 100¢ per $1 payout, locking +0.4¢ per contract before fees.

Stake $

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY

HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Josh Shapiro wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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STATS

Cross-venue spread0.5¢

Kalshi last5¢

Polymarket last5¢

Venues2

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