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Villarreal vs Napoli: Total Goals
Every outcome in this field. Cheapest venue highlighted; the gap column is the cross-venue spread in cents.
Over 0.5 goals scored leads this field at 95¢ (96¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on Kalshi), ahead of Over 1.5 goals scored at 81¢. The top three of 6 priced outcomes carry about 68% of the implied probability between them. The venues disagree most on Over 3.5 goals scored, quoted 2¢ apart on a pair machine-checked to settle identically. Around $30,877 of 24-hour volume stands behind these prices.
5 of 6 outcomes are also listed on Kalshi and machine-checked to settle on the same criteria
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals scored✓ | 95¢ | 96¢ | 1 |
| Over 1.5 goals scored✓ | 81¢ | 81¢ | 0 |
| Yes | — | 61¢ | — |
| Over 2.5 goals scored✓ | 57¢ | 58¢ | 1 |
| Over 3.5 goals scored✓ | 36¢ | 38¢ | 2 |
| Over 4.5 goals scored✓ | 19¢ | 21¢ | 2 |
Prices are live and move constantly — confirm on the venue before trading. A ✓ means our verifier compared both venues' resolution criteria and found them equivalent; its absence means not checked yet, never that they differ. MarketMaster is read-only research, not financial advice.