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Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?
Every outcome in this field. Cheapest venue highlighted; the gap column is the cross-venue spread in cents.
Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads this field at 74¢ (74¢ on Polymarket, 85¢ on Kalshi), ahead of Pedro Sánchez at 13¢. The top three of 14 priced outcomes carry about 99% of the implied probability between them. The venues disagree most on Alberto Núñez Feijóo, quoted 11¢ apart on a pair machine-checked to settle identically. Around $20,225 of 24-hour volume stands behind these prices.
3 of 14 outcomes are also listed on Kalshi and machine-checked to settle on the same criteria
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Núñez Feijóo✓ | 85¢ | 74¢ | 11 |
| Pedro Sánchez✓ | 13¢ | 23¢ | 10 |
| Santiago Abascal✓ | 3¢ | 2¢ | 1 |
| Yes | — | 1¢ | — |
| Yes | — | 0¢ | — |
| Yes | — | 0¢ | — |
| Yes | — | 0¢ | — |
| Yes | — | 0¢ | — |
| Yes | — | 0¢ | — |
| Yes | — | 0¢ | — |
| Yes | — | 0¢ | — |
| Yes | — | 0¢ | — |
| Yes | — | 0¢ | — |
| Yes | — | 0¢ | — |
Prices are live and move constantly — confirm on the venue before trading. A ✓ means our verifier compared both venues' resolution criteria and found them equivalent; its absence means not checked yet, never that they differ. MarketMaster is read-only research, not financial advice.