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Lens vs Sporting CP: Total Goals

Every outcome in this field. Cheapest venue highlighted; the gap column is the cross-venue spread in cents.

Over 0.5 goals scored leads this field at 96¢, ahead of Over 1.5 goals scored at 84¢. The top three of 9 priced outcomes carry about 58% of the implied probability between them. The venues disagree most on Over 2.5 goals scored, quoted 2¢ apart on a pair machine-checked to settle identically. Around $39,000 of 24-hour volume stands behind these prices.

4 of 9 outcomes are also listed on Kalshi and machine-checked to settle on the same criteria

OutcomeKalshiPolymarketGap
Over 0.5 goals scored✓ 96¢ 96¢ 0
Over 1.5 goals scored✓ 84¢ 84¢ 0
Over — 76¢ —
Yes — 66¢ —
Over 2.5 goals scored✓ 63¢ 61¢ 2
Over 3.5 goals scored✓ 41¢ 41¢ 0
Over — 10¢ —
Racing Club de Lens — 3¢ —
Sporting CP — 3¢ —

Prices are live and move constantly — confirm on the venue before trading. A ✓ means our verifier compared both venues' resolution criteria and found them equivalent; its absence means not checked yet, never that they differ. MarketMaster is read-only research, not financial advice.

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