All markets / politics
Next Israeli Minister Of Defense
Every outcome in this field. Cheapest venue highlighted; the gap column is the cross-venue spread in cents.
Yes leads this field at 33¢, ahead of Yes at 14¢. The top three of 3 priced outcomes carry about 100% of the implied probability between them. The venues disagree most on Avigdor Lieberman, quoted 11¢ apart on a pair machine-checked to settle identically. Around $11,464 of 24-hour volume stands behind these prices.
1 of 3 outcomes are also listed on Kalshi and machine-checked to settle on the same criteria
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | 33¢ | — |
| Yes | — | 14¢ | — |
| Avigdor Lieberman✓ | 22¢ | 11¢ | 11 |
Prices are live and move constantly — confirm on the venue before trading. A ✓ means our verifier compared both venues' resolution criteria and found them equivalent; its absence means not checked yet, never that they differ. MarketMaster is read-only research, not financial advice.