Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Post ☰ See all 16 outcomes in 2028 Democratic presidential nominee →

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 7, 2028

LIVE PRICES — YES

KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗

0¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	0¢	0¢
NO	100¢	100¢

$6,942,889 volume

PolymarketTrade ↗

0¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	0¢	0¢
NO	100¢	100¢

$38,765,080 volume

Cross-venue spread 0.2¢

Track this market on MarketMaster →

CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 100¢ per $1 payout, locking +0.1¢ per contract before fees.

Stake $

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY

HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Zohran Mamdani wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Show full rules

STATS

Cross-venue spread0.2¢

Kalshi last0¢

Polymarket last0¢

Venues2

TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card