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Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Post ☰ See all 31 outcomes in 2028 Democratic presidential nominee →
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 7, 2028
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
2¢ last
BidAsk
YES2¢2¢
NO98¢98¢
$5,171,422 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
1¢ last
BidAsk
YES1¢1¢
NO99¢99¢
$33,687,723 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.1¢
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +0.8¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Raphael Warnock wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread1.1¢
Kalshi last2¢
Polymarket last1¢
Venues2
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