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When will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together? — Before Jan 1, 2027

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KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jan 1, 2027
MarketMaster fair value71¢ vs live 56¢ on Kalshi
14.5% against the midpoint, 12.0% against the 59¢ ask you would actually pay, +10.3% after the 1.69¢ taker fee.
▲ +10.3% after fees · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
58¢ last
BidAsk
YES54¢59¢
NO41¢46¢
$18,965 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
86¢ last
BidAsk
YES85¢86¢
NO14¢15¢
$33,341 volume
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Cross-venue spread 28.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 74¢ per $1 payout, locking +26.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Donald Trump and Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin meet in person together in the same trilateral meeting after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Xi Jinping are photographed or videotaped together, in the same frame, between this market's creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic, not the result of artificial intelligence or video editing. The resolution source for this market will be the images or video of Donald Trump, Vladimir Putin, and Xi Jinping together.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread28.0¢
Kalshi last58¢
Polymarket last86¢
Model fair value71¢
Model confidence14%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.