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Valorant: FOKUS Sakura vs GIANTX GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 17, 2026
MarketMaster fair value63¢ vs live 62¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.3% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
62¢ last
BidAsk
YES61¢62¢
NO38¢39¢
$2,126 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
64¢ last
BidAsk
YES63¢65¢
NO35¢37¢
$4,687 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If FOKUS Sakura wins the VCT Game Changers EMEA 2026: GIANTX GC vs. FOKUS Sakura Valorant match originally scheduled for Aug 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between FOKUS Sakura and GIANTX GC in the VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FOKUS Sakura" if FOKUS Sakura win the match against GIANTX GC. This market will resolve to "GIANTX GC" if GIANTX GC win the match against FOKUS Sakura. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 17, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last62¢
Polymarket last64¢
Model fair value63¢
Model confidence36%
Venues2
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