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Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 17, 2026
MarketMaster fair value53¢ vs live 52¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.3% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
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BidAsk
YES
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PolymarketTrade ↗
54¢ last
BidAsk
YES53¢54¢
NO46¢47¢
$18,237 volume
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between Nexus and G2 Ares in the NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C, initially scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nexus" if Nexus win the match against G2 Ares. This market will resolve to "G2 Ares" if G2 Ares win the match against Nexus. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread
Kalshi last
Polymarket last54¢
Model fair value53¢
Model confidence41%
Venues2
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