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Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-In

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Aug 17, 2026
MarketMaster fair value45¢ vs live 42¢ on Kalshi
▲ +2.7% edge · Buy NO
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LIVE PRICES — YES
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last
BidAsk
YES
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PolymarketTrade ↗
53¢ last
BidAsk
YES52¢54¢
NO46¢48¢
$13,508 volume
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between NEW VISION and Vexar in the Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "NEW VISION" if NEW VISION win the match against Vexar. This market will resolve to "Vexar" if Vexar win the match against NEW VISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 17, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread
Kalshi last
Polymarket last53¢
Model fair value55¢
Model confidence40%
Venues2
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