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Who will be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Every outcome in this field. Cheapest venue highlighted; the gap column is the cross-venue spread in cents.

Jonathan Reynolds leads this field at 2¢ (5¢ on Polymarket, 2¢ on Kalshi), ahead of Shabana Mahmood at 2¢. The top three of 3 priced outcomes carry about 100% of the implied probability between them. The venues disagree most on Ed Miliband, quoted 5¢ apart on a pair machine-checked to settle identically. Around $2,722 of 24-hour volume stands behind these prices.

3 of 3 outcomes are also listed on Kalshi and machine-checked to settle on the same criteria

Prices are live and move constantly — confirm on the venue before trading. A ✓ means our verifier compared both venues' resolution criteria and found them equivalent; its absence means not checked yet, never that they differ. MarketMaster is read-only research, not financial advice.