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Next Israeli Minister Of National Security
Every outcome in this field. Cheapest venue highlighted; the gap column is the cross-venue spread in cents.
Yes leads this field at 34¢, ahead of Yes at 19¢. The top three of 5 priced outcomes carry about 84% of the implied probability between them. The venues disagree most on Itamar Ben-Gvir, quoted 12¢ apart on a pair machine-checked to settle identically. Around $6,519 of 24-hour volume stands behind these prices.
1 of 5 outcomes are also listed on Kalshi and machine-checked to settle on the same criteria
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | 34¢ | — |
| Yes | — | 19¢ | — |
| Itamar Ben-Gvir✓ | 5¢ | 17¢ | 12 |
| Yes | — | 14¢ | — |
| Yes | — | 8¢ | — |
Prices are live and move constantly — confirm on the venue before trading. A ✓ means our verifier compared both venues' resolution criteria and found them equivalent; its absence means not checked yet, never that they differ. MarketMaster is read-only research, not financial advice.