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Chicago C vs Cincinnati: Total Runs
Every outcome in this field. Cheapest venue highlighted; the gap column is the cross-venue spread in cents.
Over 8.5 runs scored leads this field at 57¢ (62¢ on Polymarket, 57¢ on Kalshi), ahead of Chicago Cubs at 57¢. The top three of 5 priced outcomes carry about 65% of the implied probability between them. The venues disagree most on Over 8.5 runs scored, quoted 5¢ apart on a pair machine-checked to settle identically. Around $34,956 of 24-hour volume stands behind these prices.
3 of 5 outcomes are also listed on Kalshi and machine-checked to settle on the same criteria
| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 runs scored✓ | 57¢ | 62¢ | 5 |
| Chicago Cubs | — | 57¢ | — |
| Over 9.5 runs scored✓ | 48¢ | 47¢ | 1 |
| Chicago Cubs | — | 46¢ | — |
| Over 10.5 runs scored✓ | 40¢ | 41¢ | 1 |
Prices are live and move constantly — confirm on the venue before trading. A ✓ means our verifier compared both venues' resolution criteria and found them equivalent; its absence means not checked yet, never that they differ. MarketMaster is read-only research, not financial advice.