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Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Daria Kasatkina

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 11, 2026
MarketMaster fair value38¢ vs live 37¢ on Kalshi
1.3% against the midpoint, 0.8% against the 37¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.8% after the 1.63¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
37¢ last
BidAsk
YES36¢37¢
NO63¢64¢
$3,092 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
39¢ last
BidAsk
YES37¢38¢
NO62¢63¢
$3,312 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Sara Sorribes Tormo wins the Sorribes Tormo vs Kasatkina professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Wuhan Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Sara Sorribes Tormo and Daria Kasatkina in the Wuhan Tennis Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sara Sorribes Tormo' if Sara Sorribes Tormo advances against Daria Kasatkina. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Sara Sorribes Tormo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last37¢
Polymarket last39¢
Model fair value38¢
Model confidence35%
Venues2
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