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Georgia vs Alabama — Georgia

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 10, 2026
MarketMaster fair value49¢ vs live 46¢ on Polymarket
3.3% against the midpoint, -0.7% against the 50¢ ask you would actually pay, -1.4% after the 0.75¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
49¢ last
BidAsk
YES48¢49¢
NO51¢52¢
$71,005 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
54¢ last
BidAsk
YES50¢51¢
NO49¢50¢
$1,078 volume
Cross-venue spread 5.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Georgia wins the Georgia vs Alabama college football game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming college football game between Georgia and Alabama, scheduled for October 10 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Georgia" if Georgia win the game. This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread5.0¢
Kalshi last49¢
Polymarket last54¢
Model fair value49¢
Model confidence42%
Venues2
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