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CHI Bears vs GB Packers — Chicago

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Oct 11, 2026
MarketMaster fair value46¢ vs live 45¢ on Polymarket
1.4% against the midpoint, -1.6% against the 48¢ ask you would actually pay, -2.4% after the 0.75¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
53¢ last
BidAsk
YES52¢53¢
NO47¢48¢
$59,186 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
54¢ last
BidAsk
YES51¢53¢
NO47¢49¢
$10,313 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Chicago wins the CHI Bears vs GB Packers Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL football game between Bears and Packers, scheduled for October 11 at 4:25PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bears" if Bears win the game. This market will resolve to "Packers" if Packers win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last53¢
Polymarket last54¢
Model fair value46¢
Model confidence35%
Venues2
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