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CLE Browns vs NY Jets — Cleveland

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Oct 11, 2026
MarketMaster fair value53¢ vs live 51¢ on Polymarket
1.8% against the midpoint, -3.2% against the 56¢ ask you would actually pay, -4.0% after the 0.74¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
46¢ last
BidAsk
YES45¢46¢
NO54¢55¢
$27,898 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
45¢ last
BidAsk
YES44¢45¢
NO55¢56¢
$6,294 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Cleveland wins the CLE Browns vs NY Jets Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL football game between Browns and Jets, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Browns" if Browns win the game. This market will resolve to "Jets" if Jets win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last46¢
Polymarket last45¢
Model fair value53¢
Model confidence32%
Venues2
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