Skip to content
Scanner / All markets / Sports

LV Raiders vs NE Patriots — Las Vegas

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Oct 11, 2026
MarketMaster fair value61¢ vs live 58¢ on Polymarket
3.3% against the midpoint, -2.7% against the 64¢ ask you would actually pay, -3.4% after the 0.69¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
37¢ last
BidAsk
YES36¢37¢
NO63¢64¢
$92,145 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
42¢ last
BidAsk
YES36¢39¢
NO61¢64¢
$1,680 volume
Cross-venue spread 5.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Las Vegas wins the LV Raiders vs NE Patriots Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL football game between Raiders and Patriots, scheduled for October 11 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Raiders" if Raiders win the game. This market will resolve to "Patriots" if Patriots win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread5.0¢
Kalshi last37¢
Polymarket last42¢
Model fair value61¢
Model confidence34%
Venues2
TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card
ELSEWHERE
RELATED MARKETS
China Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hubert HurkaczDET Lions vs CAR Panthers: Total Points — Over 52.5 pointsDota 2: LEGION vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsChina Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil MedvedevJovic vs Rakhimova — Iva JovicLions vs. Panthers: O/U 37.5