Scanner / Politics

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jan 1, 2027
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO94¢94¢
$1,386,869 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO96¢96¢
$34,550,981 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.9¢
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 98¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.6¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread1.9¢
Kalshi last
Polymarket last
Venues2
TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card
RELATED MARKETS
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?