Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

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KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 7, 2028

LIVE PRICES — YES

1¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	0¢	1¢
NO	99¢	100¢

$1,271,762 volume

PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗

0¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	0¢	0¢
NO	100¢	100¢

$19,374,392 volume

Cross-venue spread 0.3¢

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CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 100¢ per $1 payout, locking +0.1¢ per contract before fees.

Stake $

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY

HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Rand Paul wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party in 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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STATS

Cross-venue spread0.3¢

Kalshi last1¢

Polymarket last0¢

Venues2

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