Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?

Name: Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? — daily price history on Kalshi and Polymarket
Creator: MarketMaster
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Polymarket Closes Nov 4, 2026

LIVE PRICES — YES

PolymarketTrade ↗

32¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	32¢	32¢
NO	68¢	68¢

$12,912 volume

Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.

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30-DAY PRICE HISTORY

HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

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STATS

Cross-venue spread—

Kalshi last—

Polymarket last32¢

Venues2

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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.