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Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?

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Polymarket Closes Nov 29, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
43¢ last
BidAsk
YES44¢46¢
NO54¢56¢
$41,125 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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STATS
Cross-venue spread—
Kalshi last—
Polymarket last43¢
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.