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Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?

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Polymarket Closes Jul 1, 2027
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
96¢ last
BidAsk
YES95¢97¢
NO3¢5¢
$42,898 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).

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STATS
Cross-venue spread—
Kalshi last—
Polymarket last96¢
Venues2
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