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Will Portland Thorns FC win on 2026-08-02?

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Aug 7, 2026
MarketMaster fair value64¢ vs live 55¢ on Kalshi
▲ +8.6% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
50¢ last
BidAsk
YES19¢80¢
NO20¢81¢
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
36¢ last
BidAsk
YES32¢34¢
NO66¢68¢
$2,949 volume
Cross-venue spread 13.5¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Portland wins the Portland vs Puebla professional Leagues Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 2, 2026 If Portland Thorns FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread13.5¢
Kalshi last50¢
Polymarket last36¢
Model fair value36¢
Model confidence32%
Venues2
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