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Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs

KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 2, 2026
MarketMaster fair value35¢ vs live 33¢ on Kalshi
▲ +2.0% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
40¢ last
BidAsk
YES43¢47¢
NO53¢57¢
$2,073 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
41¢ last
BidAsk
YES41¢43¢
NO57¢59¢
$26,587 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Yellow Submarine wins Games of the Future 2026: Team Resilience vs. Yellow Submarine Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Aug 2, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between Yellow Submarine and Team Resilience in the Games of the Future Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 2 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win the match against Team Resilience. This market will resolve to "Team Resilience" if Team Resilience win the match against Yellow Submarine. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last40¢
Polymarket last41¢
Model fair value35¢
Model confidence43%
Venues2
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