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Counter-Strike: Sinners vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffs

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Aug 2, 2026
MarketMaster fair value66¢ vs live 65¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.3% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
65¢ last
BidAsk
YES64¢65¢
NO35¢36¢
$1,372 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
67¢ last
BidAsk
YES66¢67¢
NO33¢34¢
$4,853 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If SINNERS Esports wins the CCT Europe Series #5 2026: SPARTA vs. SINNERS Esports CS2 match originally scheduled for Aug 2, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Sinners and SPARTA in the CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 2 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win the match against SPARTA. This market will resolve to "SPARTA" if SPARTA win the match against Sinners. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last65¢
Polymarket last67¢
Model fair value66¢
Model confidence36%
Venues2
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