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Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jan 1, 2027
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES10¢
NO90¢95¢
$21,245 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO94¢95¢
$60,320 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Kamala Harris has announced that she will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Jan 1, 2027, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last
Polymarket last
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.