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Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?

Post
Polymarket Closes Jan 1, 2027
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
27¢ last
BidAsk
YES26¢32¢
NO68¢74¢
$36,939 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread
Kalshi last
Polymarket last27¢
Venues2
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