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Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Oct 10, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
3¢ last
BidAsk
YES2¢6¢
NO94¢98¢
$868 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
16¢ last
BidAsk
YES15¢16¢
NO84¢85¢
$1,023 volume
Cross-venue spread 13.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 91¢ per $1 payout, locking +9.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from Oct 4, 2026 to Oct 10, 2026 is below 80, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between October 6, 12:00 PM ET and October 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread13.0¢
Kalshi last3¢
Polymarket last16¢
Venues2
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