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Vici Gaming to win 2-0?

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jul 30, 2026
MarketMaster fair value21¢ vs live 13¢ on Kalshi
▲ +8.2% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
16¢ last
BidAsk
YES18¢
NO82¢92¢
$170 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
25¢ last
BidAsk
YES24¢25¢
NO75¢76¢
$4,641 volume
Cross-venue spread 9.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 94¢ per $1 payout, locking +6.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Vici Gaming wins 1win Essence 2026: Vici Gaming vs. Team Falcons Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming Dota 2 best-of-two series, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, if Vici Gaming wins the series (wins both games, 2-0), this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the series is postponed, this market will remain open until the series has been completed. If the series is canceled entirely, with no make-up, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the result of the best-of-two series (both games). The primary resolution source for this market is the official results of the event as recognized by the tournament organizer. However, if the tournament organizer has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the tournament organizer. Revisions to officially declared final results made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread9.0¢
Kalshi last16¢
Polymarket last25¢
Model fair value21¢
Model confidence34%
Venues2
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