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Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 31, 2026
MarketMaster fair value31¢ vs live 30¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.4% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
30¢ last
BidAsk
YES29¢30¢
NO70¢71¢
$587 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
32¢ last
BidAsk
YES31¢32¢
NO68¢69¢
$3,131 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Eternal Fire wins the VCT EMEA 2026: Fnatic vs. Eternal Fire Valorant match originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Valorant match between Eternal Fire and Fnatic in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for July 30 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Eternal Fire win the match against Fnatic. This market will resolve to "Fnatic" if Fnatic win the match against Eternal Fire. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last30¢
Polymarket last32¢
Model fair value31¢
Model confidence33%
Venues2
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