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Counter-Strike: VP.Prodigy vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 30, 2026
MarketMaster fair value37¢ vs live 35¢ on Polymarket
▲ +2.2% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
66¢ last
BidAsk
YES66¢67¢
NO33¢34¢
$2,648 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
63¢ last
BidAsk
YES62¢63¢
NO37¢38¢
$8,971 volume
Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 97¢ per $1 payout, locking +3.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If VP.Prodigy wins the United21 2026: Passion Academy vs. VP.Prodigy CS2 match originally scheduled for Jul 30, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between VP.Prodigy and Passion Academy in the United21 Group B, initially scheduled for July 30 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "VP.Prodigy" if VP.Prodigy win the match against Passion Academy. This market will resolve to "Passion Academy" if Passion Academy win the match against VP.Prodigy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last66¢
Polymarket last63¢
Model fair value63¢
Model confidence37%
Venues2
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