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Texas Senate: Exact outcome — Paxton defeats Talarico

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Kalshi Closes Jan 3, 2028
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
34¢ last
BidAsk
YES33¢34¢
NO66¢67¢
$306,341 volume
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Listed on Kalshi only. Polymarket does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If ALL of the following occur before Jan 2027: GOP Nominee: Ken Paxton, General Election Winner: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.

STATS
Cross-venue spread—
Kalshi last34¢
Polymarket last—
Venues2
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