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Nongshim Red Force vs. DRX — DRX

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 29, 2026
MarketMaster fair value85¢ vs live 75¢ on Kalshi
▲ +10.4% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
20¢ last
BidAsk
YES18¢20¢
NO80¢82¢
$51,876 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO93¢94¢
$597,371 volume
Cross-venue spread 13.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 89¢ per $1 payout, locking +11.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If DRX wins the LCK 2026: Nongshim Red Force vs. DRX League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jul 29, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for July 29 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win Game 1 against Nongshim Red Force. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 1 against Kiwoom DRX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread13.0¢
Kalshi last20¢
Polymarket last
Model fair value15¢
Model confidence52%
Venues2
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