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LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 29, 2026
MarketMaster fair value59¢ vs live 58¢ on Polymarket
▲ +1.3% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
40¢ last
BidAsk
YES39¢40¢
NO60¢61¢
$31,298 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
42¢ last
BidAsk
YES41¢42¢
NO58¢59¢
$41,772 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If DRX wins the LCK 2026: Nongshim Red Force vs. DRX League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jul 29, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the LoL match between Kiwoom DRX and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for July 29 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win Game 1 against Nongshim Red Force. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win Game 1 against Kiwoom DRX. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last40¢
Polymarket last42¢
Model fair value41¢
Model confidence45%
Venues2
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