Skip to content
Scanner / All markets / Politics

NATO article 5 before 2027?

Post
Polymarket Closes Dec 31, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO
PolymarketTrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO94¢97¢
$196,740 volume
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread
Kalshi last
Polymarket last
Venues2
TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card
RELATED MARKETS
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Marco RubioWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?